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∂AIL Dr. Alexander von Graevenitz↓Professor of Laboratory Medicine
↓789 Howard Avenue↓New Haven, CT 06504∞
.<<203 436-4968>>

Dear Dr. von Graevenitz:

	I am happy to join the Academic Caucus on Foreign Policy,
and I enclose a check for $40.

	I endorse the statement you enclosed in your letter, but
I have the following additional comment.  It seem to me that America's
current indecisiveness and incompetence may have the desirable
side-effect of making Western Europe more independent.  Even if
the United States adopted a policy of total isolation, Europe
would have other options than Finlandization.  Western Europe is
more populous and is industrially stronger than the Soviet bloc.
If it sees the need, it can be come militarily stronger.  If the
U.S. refuses to transfer cruise missile technology, the Europeans
can develop it themselves.

	I remember being asked by a West German professor what the
United States would do in the expected difficult situation when
Tito dies.  What I should have replied but failed to do because
hypnotized by the myth of American leadership was, "I dunno, what
will West Germany do?"

	I don't know if the Europeans and others who have been
dependent on the U.S. for their defense are fully aware of this
country's political weakness.  I would be inclined to favor a
statement designed to shock people in both the U.S. and abroad.
Such a statement would characterize the American political weakness
and tell the dependent countries that they are on their own now.
It would tell, for example, Japan, South Korea and Taiwan that
they cannot rely on Carter promises and must look to their own
defenses if they prize their independence.  It would praise them
for not falling for Carter's anti-breeder energy policy and would
point out that this policy is not at all derived from any analysis
of needs and ways of meeting them but is merely the resultant
of promises Carter has made to various groups and individuals.

.sgn